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September 2022 Times/Siena Poll: Cross-Tabs for All Respondents

Do you think the United States is on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction? [IF NEEDED: Based on anything you may have seen or heard, if you had to pick, would you say right track or wrong direction?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Right track

27%

23%

23%

30%

29%

27%

27%

29%

26%

23%

44%

35%

29%

20%

23%

30%

27%

28%

32%

27%

22%

49%

4%

50%

5%

27%

Wrong direction

60%

57%

62%

62%

59%

61%

59%

55%

63%

66%

29%

51%

58%

72%

62%

48%

63%

63%

50%

59%

68%

32%

91%

34%

92%

57%

[VOLUNTEER] Don’t Know/Refused

13%

20%

14%

9%

12%

12%

14%

17%

11%

11%

27%

15%

14%

9%

15%

22%

10%

9%

18%

14%

9%

19%

5%

16%

3%

16%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(If wrong direction) Are you optimistic or pessimistic that America can get back on the right track over the next decade? FOLLOW UP: Is that very or somewhat?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very optimistic

17%

16%

13%

19%

20%

15%

19%

15%

18%

17%

14%

22%

15%

17%

15%

14%

18%

18%

11%

22%

15%

13%

19%

21%

18%

14%

Somewhat optimistic

48%

65%

51%

41%

51%

45%

52%

49%

49%

50%

34%

43%

48%

51%

48%

41%

51%

50%

42%

49%

51%

52%

50%

49%

51%

45%

Somewhat pessimistic

16%

12%

15%

17%

14%

16%

15%

21%

12%

17%

16%

14%

23%

13%

18%

20%

13%

14%

21%

13%

16%

16%

16%

15%

15%

17%

Very pessimistic

13%

4%

17%

16%

9%

17%

10%

11%

14%

11%

28%

15%

9%

12%

12%

19%

13%

11%

19%

13%

11%

14%

12%

11%

9%

18%

[VOL] DK/REF

6%

3%

3%

7%

6%

7%

5%

5%

6%

6%

8%

6%

5%

7%

7%

6%

4%

7%

8%

4%

6%

4%

4%

4%

6%

6%

n

800

115

180

274

186

411

381

322

472

436

28

272

196

238

148

136

302

214

181

345

274

232

422

155

325

263

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

23%

32%

25%

49%

50%

33%

66%

72%

6%

10%

25%

47%

22%

16%

38%

24%

19%

42%

39%

22%

54%

17%

44%

31%

 

Thinking ahead to the November general election, are you almost certain that you will vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Almost certain

50%

30%

44%

56%

59%

50%

50%

61%

44%

56%

46%

36%

64%

50%

46%

54%

53%

43%

45%

50%

52%

54%

56%

51%

52%

48%

Very likely

34%

41%

38%

34%

30%

31%

37%

31%

36%

31%

36%

41%

29%

33%

31%

32%

33%

40%

38%

33%

33%

35%

34%

38%

36%

29%

Somewhat likely

9%

22%

7%

5%

4%

11%

6%

6%

10%

7%

12%

13%

4%

9%

13%

6%

7%

10%

11%

8%

8%

7%

6%

6%

7%

11%

Not very likely

2%

1%

3%

<.5%

1%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

3%

-

2%

1%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

2%

<.5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

Not at all likely

4%

6%

5%

3%

5%

5%

4%

2%

6%

3%

4%

3%

2%

5%

9%

4%

2%

5%

2%

6%

4%

2%

2%

4%

2%

7%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

<.5%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

4%

1%

1%

-

3%

3%

-

1%

2%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

2%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

If this year’s election for Congress were held today, which party’s candidate would you be more likely to vote for in your district: [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today, would you lean toward:]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic candidate

46%

50%

49%

43%

46%

39%

53%

58%

40%

39%

76%

56%

55%

29%

37%

60%

41%

50%

57%

49%

36%

87%

5%

95%

3%

41%

The Republican candidate

44%

35%

41%

51%

46%

48%

40%

37%

49%

53%

11%

32%

41%

61%

51%

30%

51%

39%

31%

42%

56%

7%

91%

2%

96%

42%

[VOL] DK/REF

10%

16%

11%

6%

8%

12%

7%

5%

12%

8%

12%

12%

4%

10%

12%

10%

8%

12%

12%

10%

8%

7%

5%

2%

1%

17%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly approve

18%

7%

9%

23%

26%

17%

20%

20%

17%

17%

34%

15%

21%

14%

11%

23%

17%

23%

20%

21%

13%

38%

<.5%

44%

1%

12%

Somewhat approve

23%

29%

31%

17%

20%

19%

27%

32%

18%

21%

34%

33%

30%

15%

24%

32%

22%

17%

33%

22%

19%

42%

4%

39%

4%

27%

Somewhat disapprove

9%

21%

11%

5%

4%

10%

9%

10%

9%

9%

9%

16%

8%

9%

13%

6%

9%

9%

14%

8%

8%

9%

5%

8%

4%

14%

Strongly disapprove

44%

33%

42%

51%

47%

49%

39%

34%

51%

50%

15%

30%

38%

59%

49%

31%

50%

42%

28%

43%

56%

7%

88%

6%

90%

42%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

10%

6%

4%

2%

5%

4%

4%

5%

3%

8%

7%

2%

4%

3%

8%

2%

8%

3%

6%

5%

5%

2%

3%

2%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(With approve and disapprove responses combined) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Approve

42%

37%

41%

39%

46%

36%

47%

53%

35%

38%

68%

48%

52%

29%

35%

55%

39%

41%

54%

43%

32%

79%

4%

83%

4%

39%

Disapprove

53%

54%

53%

57%

51%

59%

48%

43%

60%

59%

23%

45%

46%

68%

62%

37%

59%

51%

43%

51%

64%

16%

93%

14%

94%

56%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

10%

6%

4%

2%

5%

4%

4%

5%

3%

8%

7%

2%

4%

3%

8%

2%

8%

3%

6%

5%

5%

2%

3%

2%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

I’m going to read a few names of people or groups in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each: Joe Biden

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very favorable

20%

10%

13%

22%

27%

18%

22%

21%

19%

18%

34%

20%

22%

15%

12%

26%

18%

23%

22%

22%

16%

39%

1%

45%

1%

12%

Somewhat favorable

27%

34%

33%

23%

22%

23%

30%

35%

22%

24%

38%

36%

32%

19%

29%

33%

23%

24%

38%

25%

21%

45%

5%

41%

4%

33%

Somewhat unfavorable

11%

21%

15%

6%

7%

11%

10%

12%

10%

10%

14%

15%

12%

9%

12%

8%

10%

12%

13%

11%

9%

10%

10%

7%

10%

15%

Very unfavorable

40%

31%

37%

48%

40%

44%

36%

30%

46%

47%

10%

25%

34%

55%

44%

29%

45%

38%

25%

39%

51%

5%

82%

5%

83%

38%

[VOL] Never heard of

<.5%

-

-

-

1%

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

<.5%

-

-

-

<.5%

1%

-

-

-

-

-

1%

-

<.5%

-

1%

-

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

4%

2%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

5%

4%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

I’m going to read a few names of people or groups in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each: Donald Trump

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very favorable

23%

9%

19%

30%

29%

23%

24%

16%

28%

28%

7%

16%

18%

34%

26%

15%

30%

19%

16%

21%

31%

2%

53%

6%

56%

14%

Somewhat favorable

20%

26%

23%

22%

15%

25%

16%

18%

22%

22%

11%

17%

20%

23%

22%

11%

22%

25%

13%

22%

23%

6%

36%

3%

34%

23%

Somewhat unfavorable

9%

20%

11%

5%

7%

13%

6%

9%

9%

9%

6%

10%

10%

8%

13%

11%

5%

9%

14%

10%

5%

7%

7%

7%

6%

14%

Very unfavorable

44%

43%

44%

43%

47%

36%

52%

55%

38%

40%

69%

52%

50%

34%

38%

56%

41%

45%

55%

44%

38%

85%

2%

83%

4%

46%

[VOL] Never heard of

<.5%

-

-

-

<.5%

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

-

-

-

-

-

<.5%

<.5%

-

-

-

-

<.5%

-

-

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

1%

4%

1%

3%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

7%

4%

1%

1%

1%

6%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

I’m going to read a few names of people or groups in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each: Capitalism

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very favorable

30%

20%

22%

37%

37%

37%

25%

31%

30%

35%

8%

23%

33%

36%

32%

25%

33%

29%

29%

30%

32%

15%

50%

13%

46%

32%

Somewhat favorable

30%

41%

32%

28%

26%

36%

25%

36%

28%

30%

29%

34%

38%

25%

24%

35%

28%

35%

34%

28%

30%

39%

20%

31%

20%

41%

Somewhat unfavorable

14%

11%

22%

11%

12%

10%

18%

16%

13%

13%

19%

18%

16%

11%

13%

15%

13%

14%

15%

14%

12%

20%

8%

24%

8%

7%

Very unfavorable

15%

21%

15%

14%

11%

12%

18%

12%

17%

14%

25%

14%

8%

17%

18%

13%

15%

14%

14%

17%

13%

15%

13%

17%

15%

13%

[VOL] Never heard of

2%

<.5%

<.5%

5%

2%

1%

3%

1%

3%

1%

7%

1%

<.5%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

<.5%

2%

3%

4%

1%

5%

1%

<.5%

[VOL] DK/REF

9%

6%

8%

5%

12%

4%

12%

5%

9%

7%

11%

10%

4%

9%

11%

9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

10%

8%

7%

9%

9%

7%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

I’m going to read a few names of people or groups in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each: Socialism

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very favorable

7%

11%

9%

6%

3%

7%

7%

7%

7%

6%

13%

8%

6%

5%

4%

7%

9%

7%

8%

7%

6%

11%

2%

12%

2%

6%

Somewhat favorable

23%

32%

28%

19%

19%

20%

26%

28%

20%

20%

31%

32%

30%

13%

17%

28%

19%

30%

28%

27%

14%

39%

5%

41%

5%

22%

Somewhat unfavorable

16%

22%

19%

15%

11%

16%

15%

18%

15%

15%

19%

17%

16%

15%

23%

14%

12%

15%

17%

18%

11%

20%

9%

18%

10%

20%

Very unfavorable

44%

25%

37%

52%

52%

49%

40%

39%

46%

52%

12%

30%

43%

58%

48%

37%

49%

37%

33%

38%

57%

17%

78%

13%

76%

43%

[VOL] Never heard of

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

1%

5%

3%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

1%

<.5%

[VOL] DK/REF

10%

9%

7%

6%

13%

7%

11%

7%

10%

7%

20%

10%

5%

7%

8%

12%

9%

10%

12%

9%

8%

11%

5%

12%

6%

9%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

I’m going to read a few names of people or groups in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each: The Black Lives Matter movement

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very favorable

28%

49%

29%

26%

20%

21%

35%

32%

27%

24%

55%

31%

27%

22%

25%

29%

27%

34%

36%

30%

22%

47%

6%

53%

8%

24%

Somewhat favorable

26%

23%

32%

24%

27%

25%

27%

30%

24%

26%

26%

27%

32%

23%

25%

34%

24%

24%

26%

28%

24%

38%

14%

31%

13%

34%

Somewhat unfavorable

11%

14%

12%

9%

11%

15%

8%

11%

12%

12%

7%

11%

11%

12%

17%

7%

10%

11%

11%

12%

11%

4%

17%

5%

18%

10%

Very unfavorable

26%

6%

21%

35%

33%

30%

22%

21%

29%

31%

7%

19%

24%

36%

24%

22%

32%

23%

20%

24%

33%

5%

57%

5%

56%

24%

[VOL] Never heard of

1%

<.5%

-

<.5%

3%

1%

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

-

2%

<.5%

2%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

7%

8%

5%

5%

5%

7%

5%

6%

7%

6%

4%

9%

6%

5%

5%

8%

7%

6%

6%

5%

8%

5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

I’m going to read a few names of people or groups in public life and I’d like you to tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each: The Blue Lives Matter movement

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very favorable

32%

22%

29%

42%

34%

30%

34%

30%

34%

37%

16%

20%

34%

40%

33%

27%

35%

31%

24%

31%

39%

16%

57%

19%

53%

29%

Somewhat favorable

24%

23%

30%

24%

18%

27%

21%

23%

24%

23%

29%

25%

24%

22%

25%

24%

25%

20%

21%

24%

25%

27%

21%

23%

21%

28%

Somewhat unfavorable

12%

21%

17%

9%

7%

13%

11%

18%

9%

10%

12%

16%

16%

6%

10%

14%

10%

15%

17%

14%

7%

18%

3%

17%

4%

13%

Very unfavorable

12%

27%

14%

9%

4%

11%

13%

15%

11%

10%

15%

17%

11%

10%

12%

13%

11%

14%

19%

11%

8%

16%

5%

16%

5%

12%

[VOL] Never heard of

11%

6%

4%

7%

25%

10%

12%

6%

14%

12%

11%

11%

7%

14%

13%

12%

9%

13%

10%

10%

13%

15%

8%

15%

8%

11%

[VOL] DK/REF

9%

2%

5%

9%

13%

9%

8%

8%

9%

7%

17%

11%

7%

7%

6%

12%

10%

7%

9%

10%

8%

9%

6%

8%

8%

8%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [IF NEEDED: If you had to decide today, are you leaning towards one candidate?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Joe Biden, the Democrat

45%

43%

46%

42%

48%

36%

53%

56%

38%

39%

76%

52%

53%

30%

38%

57%

40%

47%

57%

47%

34%

88%

3%

92%

3%

40%

Donald Trump, the Republican

42%

35%

40%

47%

43%

46%

38%

33%

47%

49%

7%

32%

36%

58%

48%

30%

46%

39%

30%

39%

53%

5%

89%

4%

91%

37%

[VOL] Another candidate

6%

8%

5%

5%

5%

8%

4%

6%

6%

6%

9%

7%

6%

5%

8%

5%

6%

5%

5%

5%

7%

3%

4%

3%

3%

9%

[VOL] Not going to vote/wouldn't vote if those are the choices

4%

3%

8%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

5%

2%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

<.5%

1%

8%

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

11%

1%

3%

2%

6%

3%

2%

5%

4%

5%

3%

2%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

4%

5%

3%

2%

2%

1%

2%

7%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Thinking about whether to vote for Democrats or Republicans for Congress this November, what types of issues are most important in deciding your vote: [IF NEEDED: If you had to choose one …]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Societal issues such as abortion, guns or democracy

31%

39%

40%

26%

26%

29%

33%

39%

27%

33%

30%

25%

41%

28%

30%

32%

29%

34%

36%

30%

28%

47%

15%

49%

14%

27%

Economic issues such as jobs, taxes or the cost of living

49%

48%

49%

48%

52%

53%

46%

44%

52%

50%

46%

54%

46%

53%

55%

45%

50%

47%

49%

50%

49%

38%

62%

36%

63%

54%

[VOL] Both equal

16%

13%

9%

21%

17%

14%

18%

15%

17%

14%

17%

19%

11%

16%

13%

15%

19%

16%

12%

16%

19%

13%

19%

14%

20%

14%

[VOL] Neither

1%

-

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

2%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

-

1%

3%

4%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

5%

1%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

3%

3%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

And thinking about your own personal finances, would you say that your personal financial situation is in excellent shape, good shape, only fair shape, or poor shape?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Excellent

11%

8%

10%

15%

9%

13%

9%

17%

8%

12%

10%

8%

17%

8%

10%

10%

11%

12%

11%

12%

9%

13%

10%

11%

10%

12%

Good

40%

40%

46%

32%

44%

38%

41%

46%

36%

41%

36%

34%

46%

38%

42%

46%

34%

42%

38%

44%

36%

45%

36%

44%

37%

39%

Only fair

33%

37%

29%

35%

32%

33%

33%

28%

35%

32%

33%

38%

30%

33%

34%

29%

34%

32%

36%

30%

34%

27%

39%

30%

35%

35%

Poor

15%

14%

15%

16%

14%

15%

15%

7%

20%

14%

20%

17%

6%

19%

12%

11%

20%

12%

13%

12%

19%

13%

14%

14%

17%

12%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you think Joe Biden’s policies have:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Helped you personally

15%

15%

14%

14%

17%

13%

17%

23%

11%

14%

19%

20%

24%

8%

13%

21%

13%

17%

18%

16%

13%

31%

2%

33%

2%

14%

Hurt you personally

37%

26%

37%

45%

37%

43%

33%

34%

40%

45%

5%

24%

38%

49%

40%

25%

44%

36%

26%

33%

50%

4%

79%

4%

79%

33%

Not made much of a difference either way

45%

59%

48%

38%

43%

42%

48%

43%

46%

39%

74%

53%

39%

40%

45%

52%

42%

45%

55%

48%

36%

64%

19%

62%

17%

52%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

<.5%

1%

3%

3%

3%

1%

<.5%

3%

2%

2%

3%

<.5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(Split A) Tell me whether you think each of the following groups faces a lot of discrimination in America, some discrimination, not much discrimination or no discrimination at all: White people

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

A lot of discrimination

8%

7%

5%

11%

9%

9%

8%

7%

9%

9%

1%

9%

6%

12%

12%

5%

10%

5%

7%

9%

9%

4%

18%

4%

16%

7%

Some discrimination

39%

43%

36%

41%

35%

42%

36%

34%

41%

42%

18%

32%

32%

50%

42%

31%

47%

29%

27%

35%

51%

22%

54%

23%

60%

36%

Not much discrimination

19%

21%

20%

19%

16%

17%

22%

20%

18%

19%

19%

20%

23%

17%

12%

23%

18%

24%

23%

19%

17%

25%

13%

19%

12%

25%

No discrimination at all

30%

29%

36%

25%

36%

28%

33%

36%

27%

27%

50%

35%

36%

21%

32%

35%

22%

36%

36%

35%

20%

45%

13%

50%

9%

29%

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

-

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

3%

4%

2%

12%

4%

3%

1%

2%

5%

3%

5%

7%

2%

3%

3%

2%

4%

3%

3%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split A) Tell me whether you think each of the following groups faces a lot of discrimination in America, some discrimination, not much discrimination or no discrimination at all: Black people

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

A lot of discrimination

45%

58%

48%

41%

36%

35%

54%

48%

43%

40%

69%

45%

44%

38%

41%

49%

41%

48%

51%

46%

37%

65%

20%

67%

19%

45%

Some discrimination

40%

37%

38%

42%

42%

45%

34%

40%

39%

42%

16%

42%

41%

43%

45%

32%

44%

36%

35%

39%

44%

28%

53%

29%

57%

37%

Not much discrimination

8%

5%

6%

10%

12%

11%

6%

7%

9%

10%

8%

3%

9%

11%

4%

11%

8%

10%

8%

6%

11%

4%

14%

4%

12%

11%

No discrimination at all

5%

1%

8%

4%

6%

5%

4%

3%

5%

5%

2%

8%

3%

6%

8%

3%

4%

4%

2%

5%

5%

<.5%

10%

<.5%

9%

4%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

-

<.5%

3%

4%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

6%

2%

3%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

4%

3%

2%

2%

4%

-

3%

3%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split A) Tell me whether you think each of the following groups faces a lot of discrimination in America, some discrimination, not much discrimination or no discrimination at all: Hispanic people

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

A lot of discrimination

28%

42%

32%

26%

18%

23%

33%

30%

27%

25%

40%

33%

27%

24%

24%

30%

26%

34%

33%

27%

27%

40%

10%

40%

9%

30%

Some discrimination

51%

51%

48%

50%

56%

50%

52%

52%

50%

52%

45%

53%

51%

53%

56%

41%

53%

51%

49%

53%

49%

50%

55%

47%

60%

49%

Not much discrimination

10%

6%

11%

8%

14%

12%

8%

9%

10%

12%

2%

5%

12%

12%

9%

12%

11%

8%

9%

7%

14%

7%

13%

7%

15%

9%

No discrimination at all

8%

1%

8%

12%

8%

10%

6%

6%

9%

8%

8%

9%

6%

9%

9%

11%

7%

5%

3%

10%

8%

1%

18%

4%

13%

8%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

-

2%

3%

4%

5%

1%

4%

3%

3%

6%

1%

4%

3%

2%

7%

3%

2%

6%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

4%

4%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split A) Tell me whether you think each of the following groups faces a lot of discrimination in America, some discrimination, not much discrimination or no discrimination at all: Men

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

A lot of discrimination

7%

6%

6%

9%

4%

10%

3%

7%

7%

5%

17%

8%

7%

4%

2%

7%

10%

7%

7%

5%

9%

5%

12%

4%

7%

9%

Some discrimination

32%

33%

26%

35%

30%

39%

24%

27%

34%

28%

30%

31%

26%

30%

29%

30%

35%

29%

24%

33%

35%

24%

41%

29%

36%

31%

Not much discrimination

27%

34%

27%

22%

30%

24%

29%

25%

28%

29%

21%

24%

25%

32%

34%

17%

28%

29%

33%

25%

25%

29%

23%

27%

26%

27%

No discrimination at all

31%

27%

36%

30%

33%

21%

41%

38%

26%

35%

22%

35%

40%

32%

35%

38%

23%

33%

30%

31%

31%

39%

23%

38%

27%

28%

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

-

4%

4%

4%

5%

3%

3%

5%

2%

11%

2%

3%

2%

1%

8%

4%

2%

6%

6%

<.5%

3%

2%

2%

3%

4%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split A) Tell me whether you think each of the following groups faces a lot of discrimination in America, some discrimination, not much discrimination or no discrimination at all: Women

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

A lot of discrimination

26%

36%

25%

25%

24%

20%

33%

24%

28%

25%

32%

33%

21%

27%

23%

29%

21%

34%

36%

22%

25%

37%

13%

34%

11%

29%

Some discrimination

52%

51%

56%

52%

50%

51%

54%

56%

50%

54%

46%

46%

55%

54%

54%

46%

59%

46%

38%

58%

55%

52%

56%

52%

58%

51%

Not much discrimination

11%

11%

6%

15%

10%

13%

9%

13%

10%

13%

11%

5%

15%

12%

13%

11%

11%

10%

13%

9%

12%

5%

19%

7%

17%

12%

No discrimination at all

8%

2%

10%

7%

14%

12%

4%

6%

9%

6%

6%

14%

6%

6%

10%

9%

7%

7%

7%

9%

7%

4%

12%

7%

14%

5%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

-

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

2%

3%

1%

6%

3%

2%

1%

-

5%

2%

2%

5%

2%

<.5%

2%

1%

<.5%

<.5%

3%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split A) Tell me whether you think each of the following groups faces a lot of discrimination in America, some discrimination, not much discrimination or no discrimination at all: Gay, lesbian and transgender people

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

A lot of discrimination

36%

51%

37%

36%

27%

29%

45%

38%

36%

36%

34%

44%

34%

37%

34%

39%

35%

38%

44%

38%

28%

52%

17%

48%

21%

37%

Some discrimination

41%

37%

39%

42%

47%

44%

39%

40%

41%

44%

43%

38%

42%

44%

43%

36%

40%

47%

39%

37%

49%

38%

46%

40%

48%

40%

Not much discrimination

9%

9%

6%

11%

11%

9%

9%

11%

8%

10%

4%

5%

14%

6%

9%

11%

11%

6%

7%

11%

8%

4%

17%

8%

11%

10%

No discrimination at all

7%

2%

11%

7%

8%

10%

4%

6%

8%

6%

8%

11%

5%

7%

9%

7%

7%

5%

4%

7%

9%

2%

14%

2%

14%

6%

[VOL] DK/REF

6%

-

7%

4%

7%

7%

4%

5%

7%

5%

11%

1%

4%

5%

4%

7%

8%

4%

6%

6%

6%

4%

6%

3%

6%

7%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

Do you think abortion should be always legal, mostly legal, mostly illegal, or always illegal?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Always legal

39%

56%

48%

32%

30%

36%

43%

47%

35%

37%

51%

38%

46%

31%

37%

49%

31%

47%

53%

40%

29%

62%

12%

63%

14%

39%

Mostly legal

23%

22%

19%

22%

28%

22%

24%

24%

22%

26%

22%

23%

26%

25%

28%

20%

24%

19%

19%

23%

25%

25%

22%

20%

22%

26%

Mostly illegal

20%

14%

16%

25%

24%

25%

16%

18%

22%

21%

9%

18%

18%

24%

21%

14%

25%

19%

15%

21%

23%

5%

42%

5%

38%

21%

Always illegal

11%

4%

13%

13%

9%

10%

11%

6%

13%

11%

5%

12%

6%

15%

8%

9%

13%

12%

7%

10%

14%

4%

18%

4%

20%

7%

[VOL] DK/REF

7%

3%

4%

7%

9%

7%

6%

5%

7%

5%

13%

8%

4%

5%

7%

9%

8%

4%

5%

6%

9%

4%

7%

7%

6%

6%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

For each of the following policies or policy proposals, tell me whether you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose, or have you never heard of this?

The Supreme Court’s June decision to overturn Roe v. Wade and end the constitutional right to abortion

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

19%

10%

15%

23%

23%

23%

15%

16%

21%

22%

5%

12%

18%

26%

19%

14%

22%

17%

13%

17%

24%

4%

43%

4%

38%

14%

Somewhat support

11%

5%

6%

15%

12%

9%

12%

9%

12%

11%

11%

10%

8%

13%

10%

8%

13%

9%

7%

9%

16%

4%

17%

5%

19%

10%

Somewhat oppose

10%

8%

12%

7%

13%

11%

9%

8%

11%

9%

11%

11%

8%

10%

6%

9%

13%

9%

8%

9%

12%

9%

12%

8%

12%

10%

Strongly oppose

52%

69%

56%

47%

46%

46%

57%

62%

46%

50%

63%

52%

61%

44%

56%

61%

42%

54%

64%

56%

38%

79%

18%

77%

22%

55%

Never heard of this

3%

4%

5%

1%

2%

4%

2%

1%

5%

2%

8%

8%

1%

3%

2%

2%

4%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

4%

1%

5%

[VOL] DK/REF

6%

4%

6%

6%

4%

7%

5%

5%

6%

5%

2%

8%

5%

5%

7%

6%

5%

6%

4%

7%

7%

1%

8%

3%

8%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

The Biden administration’s cancellation of up to $20,000 [twenty thousand dollars] in student debt

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

32%

40%

42%

29%

23%

26%

37%

42%

27%

26%

60%

44%

38%

18%

30%

38%

28%

35%

45%

35%

21%

55%

8%

62%

6%

28%

Somewhat support

17%

27%

13%

16%

14%

17%

17%

17%

17%

16%

16%

20%

18%

15%

16%

16%

20%

13%

18%

15%

18%

21%

8%

17%

11%

23%

Somewhat oppose

12%

17%

7%

10%

17%

11%

13%

12%

12%

14%

3%

8%

11%

15%

13%

10%

12%

12%

11%

11%

13%

12%

10%

11%

11%

14%

Strongly oppose

34%

11%

31%

44%

38%

40%

28%

29%

37%

40%

11%

19%

32%

46%

36%

26%

37%

33%

21%

33%

42%

7%

71%

6%

69%

29%

Never heard of this

4%

5%

6%

1%

4%

4%

3%

1%

6%

3%

6%

7%

1%

4%

2%

6%

3%

6%

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

4%

2%

5%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

4%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

4%

2%

1%

1%

3%

5%

<.5%

1%

2%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

A wall along the U.S.-Mexico border

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

32%

6%

25%

44%

40%

36%

30%

28%

35%

39%

8%

18%

31%

45%

33%

23%

38%

31%

23%

31%

40%

6%

71%

6%

70%

26%

Somewhat support

17%

24%

21%

15%

11%

17%

16%

13%

19%

17%

16%

15%

13%

20%

21%

14%

15%

16%

14%

15%

20%

14%

14%

14%

17%

20%

Somewhat oppose

13%

17%

13%

10%

15%

13%

14%

13%

13%

11%

15%

18%

14%

10%

11%

24%

11%

10%

15%

14%

11%

20%

4%

17%

2%

20%

Strongly oppose

33%

43%

39%

28%

27%

28%

37%

44%

26%

29%

49%

43%

40%

22%

29%

33%

31%

39%

44%

33%

24%

55%

8%

59%

8%

30%

Never heard of this

2%

5%

1%

<.5%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

8%

2%

1%

2%

1%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

1%

3%

<.5%

2%

1%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

5%

1%

2%

4%

3%

2%

1%

4%

2%

4%

4%

1%

2%

5%

4%

2%

2%

1%

4%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(Split A) Affirmative action programs in college admissions

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

20%

13%

18%

26%

18%

16%

25%

24%

18%

12%

49%

34%

18%

8%

15%

25%

17%

26%

24%

24%

13%

32%

10%

33%

8%

19%

Somewhat support

20%

21%

22%

20%

16%

20%

18%

32%

12%

19%

21%

17%

35%

9%

15%

25%

22%

16%

24%

22%

14%

29%

11%

26%

9%

21%

Somewhat oppose

14%

8%

16%

15%

15%

19%

9%

15%

13%

17%

10%

10%

17%

17%

23%

15%

11%

9%

10%

13%

19%

13%

16%

8%

19%

15%

Strongly oppose

14%

6%

12%

17%

20%

18%

11%

12%

16%

17%

2%

10%

13%

20%

15%

10%

17%

14%

11%

14%

18%

6%

29%

7%

22%

16%

Never heard of this

24%

38%

22%

20%

22%

22%

26%

11%

32%

27%

11%

26%

13%

37%

25%

21%

26%

22%

27%

23%

23%

13%

28%

18%

34%

22%

[VOL] DK/REF

8%

14%

10%

2%

8%

5%

10%

5%

9%

7%

6%

3%

5%

9%

7%

5%

7%

13%

4%

5%

14%

8%

6%

8%

7%

6%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split A) The Inflation Reduction Act passed by Congress last month

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

19%

14%

24%

19%

21%

20%

19%

21%

18%

14%

49%

19%

19%

11%

22%

19%

14%

24%

21%

22%

13%

36%

3%

42%

4%

12%

Somewhat support

18%

21%

18%

17%

18%

14%

21%

24%

14%

19%

19%

19%

25%

15%

14%

30%

14%

16%

23%

17%

15%

29%

4%

27%

5%

18%

Somewhat oppose

8%

7%

9%

8%

4%

7%

8%

7%

8%

7%

6%

7%

6%

7%

4%

5%

12%

7%

5%

7%

10%

5%

10%

4%

11%

8%

Strongly oppose

24%

13%

18%

34%

27%

32%

16%

24%

24%

29%

8%

15%

28%

29%

27%

20%

28%

20%

14%

24%

31%

3%

55%

2%

48%

26%

Never heard of this

25%

41%

23%

19%

20%

21%

29%

20%

28%

25%

16%

33%

20%

28%

22%

22%

26%

30%

32%

26%

19%

23%

20%

24%

24%

27%

[VOL] DK/REF

6%

3%

9%

3%

10%

6%

7%

3%

8%

7%

2%

7%

2%

10%

12%

5%

6%

4%

6%

3%

11%

4%

8%

2%

8%

8%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split B) A ban on semiautomatic weapons and high-capacity magazines

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

35%

28%

32%

39%

41%

29%

42%

46%

31%

36%

44%

33%

47%

30%

41%

44%

34%

24%

42%

40%

26%

61%

12%

60%

16%

34%

Somewhat support

11%

13%

8%

7%

11%

12%

10%

12%

11%

12%

12%

10%

12%

12%

11%

15%

8%

12%

16%

8%

11%

13%

9%

10%

13%

13%

Somewhat oppose

13%

27%

15%

12%

6%

14%

11%

14%

12%

11%

4%

18%

15%

8%

9%

8%

13%

18%

11%

13%

14%

7%

15%

7%

15%

18%

Strongly oppose

36%

28%

36%

39%

37%

42%

29%

25%

41%

38%

33%

27%

25%

46%

32%

26%

40%

40%

26%

32%

45%

14%

59%

16%

54%

31%

Never heard of this

3%

4%

5%

1%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

7%

10%

1%

1%

2%

3%

3%

5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

2%

5%

2%

1%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

-

3%

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

2%

-

2%

1%

2%

6%

4%

1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

<.5%

4%

3%

1%

3%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

(Split B) The health and climate spending bill passed by Congress last month

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

18%

10%

14%

22%

22%

17%

20%

29%

13%

18%

28%

19%

31%

11%

14%

31%

17%

14%

27%

19%

13%

39%

2%

45%

1%

13%

Somewhat support

16%

16%

22%

15%

13%

17%

15%

17%

16%

16%

29%

21%

13%

17%

21%

14%

17%

12%

21%

12%

18%

28%

5%

21%

6%

22%

Somewhat oppose

6%

1%

5%

10%

6%

6%

6%

5%

7%

6%

<.5%

5%

6%

6%

5%

5%

8%

6%

3%

7%

6%

2%

9%

3%

10%

6%

Strongly oppose

26%

11%

22%

35%

25%

30%

21%

24%

27%

31%

11%

10%

27%

33%

22%

22%

28%

30%

21%

25%

29%

3%

55%

2%

53%

19%

Never heard of this

29%

52%

33%

18%

29%

24%

34%

22%

33%

27%

28%

40%

21%

31%

31%

23%

26%

36%

24%

30%

31%

23%

25%

25%

27%

34%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

11%

4%

1%

3%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

6%

2%

2%

8%

6%

4%

3%

3%

7%

4%

5%

3%

4%

3%

5%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

(Combined responses of Split A and Split B) The Inflation Reduction Act passed by Congress last month / The health and climate spending bill passed by Congress last month

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

19%

12%

19%

20%

22%

18%

19%

25%

15%

16%

40%

19%

25%

11%

18%

24%

16%

19%

24%

21%

13%

38%

3%

43%

2%

13%

Somewhat support

17%

19%

20%

16%

16%

16%

18%

20%

15%

17%

23%

20%

19%

16%

17%

23%

16%

14%

22%

15%

16%

29%

5%

24%

6%

20%

Somewhat oppose

7%

4%

7%

9%

5%

6%

7%

6%

7%

6%

3%

6%

6%

6%

4%

5%

10%

6%

4%

7%

8%

4%

10%

3%

10%

7%

Strongly oppose

25%

12%

20%

34%

26%

31%

18%

24%

25%

30%

9%

13%

28%

31%

24%

21%

28%

25%

17%

25%

30%

3%

55%

2%

51%

23%

[VOL] DK/REF

33%

53%

34%

21%

31%

28%

37%

24%

37%

31%

24%

43%

23%

36%

36%

28%

31%

36%

33%

33%

33%

27%

28%

28%

31%

37%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

For each of the following, please tell me whether you agree more with the Democratic Party or the Republican Party.

Who do you agree more with on the economy:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

38%

39%

37%

35%

43%

34%

43%

45%

35%

32%

73%

43%

42%

25%

33%

51%

35%

38%

47%

40%

30%

75%

2%

85%

2%

31%

The Republican Party

52%

49%

54%

57%

50%

57%

47%

48%

55%

62%

12%

41%

52%

68%

56%

38%

58%

51%

43%

48%

62%

16%

94%

9%

97%

55%

[VOL] Neither

5%

4%

4%

3%

5%

4%

5%

3%

5%

4%

5%

6%

3%

5%

4%

8%

4%

4%

5%

4%

5%

2%

3%

2%

1%

7%

[VOL] About the same/Both

1%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

1%

<.5%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

7%

4%

4%

2%

4%

4%

2%

5%

1%

8%

8%

2%

1%

6%

2%

2%

6%

3%

5%

3%

5%

<.5%

4%

<.5%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Who do you agree more with on legal immigration:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

44%

59%

51%

35%

41%

39%

50%

56%

38%

36%

77%

55%

52%

27%

40%

57%

37%

49%

61%

47%

31%

83%

5%

85%

5%

45%

The Republican Party

44%

31%

38%

52%

48%

49%

40%

36%

48%

52%

11%

29%

40%

60%

49%

28%

52%

39%

29%

41%

56%

10%

85%

7%

90%

40%

[VOL] Neither

4%

3%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

2%

5%

4%

2%

6%

3%

5%

4%

7%

3%

3%

3%

5%

4%

2%

4%

1%

1%

6%

[VOL] About the same/Both

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

[VOL] DK/REF

7%

7%

4%

8%

6%

6%

7%

4%

8%

7%

7%

9%

4%

8%

7%

7%

7%

7%

6%

7%

7%

4%

5%

6%

4%

8%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Who do you agree more with on illegal immigration:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

37%

46%

41%

31%

35%

31%

42%

49%

30%

31%

66%

46%

46%

21%

32%

48%

30%

42%

52%

40%

23%

70%

4%

75%

2%

34%

The Republican Party

51%

43%

49%

57%

54%

58%

45%

43%

56%

59%

20%

37%

46%

68%

58%

36%

59%

46%

37%

49%

64%

20%

90%

16%

93%

50%

[VOL] Neither

5%

4%

7%

5%

5%

5%

5%

4%

6%

5%

6%

9%

4%

5%

4%

10%

4%

5%

4%

6%

6%

4%

4%

3%

1%

8%

[VOL] About the same/Both

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

8%

2%

5%

5%

5%

6%

3%

7%

4%

7%

7%

2%

5%

5%

4%

6%

6%

6%

4%

6%

5%

1%

5%

2%

6%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Who do you agree more with on climate and energy:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

50%

68%

53%

44%

45%

46%

54%

61%

44%

45%

71%

59%

59%

36%

44%

64%

43%

54%

64%

53%

37%

87%

10%

89%

8%

53%

The Republican Party

36%

22%

29%

46%

40%

40%

32%

32%

39%

42%

13%

24%

35%

47%

39%

24%

44%

33%

25%

35%

45%

5%

77%

4%

81%

28%

[VOL] Neither

5%

2%

6%

5%

6%

6%

4%

3%

7%

5%

6%

6%

2%

6%

4%

8%

5%

4%

4%

5%

5%

1%

7%

2%

3%

8%

[VOL] About the same/Both

2%

1%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

2%

4%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

2%

1%

1%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

7%

7%

10%

3%

7%

6%

7%

4%

8%

6%

8%

8%

3%

8%

8%

3%

6%

9%

6%

6%

9%

5%

5%

3%

6%

9%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Who do you agree more with on crime and policing:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

37%

39%

37%

35%

39%

33%

41%

44%

33%

32%

65%

43%

40%

27%

31%

50%

33%

37%

46%

38%

29%

71%

3%

79%

3%

31%

The Republican Party

47%

46%

43%

53%

49%

55%

41%

42%

51%

55%

15%

37%

49%

59%

52%

34%

52%

48%

38%

45%

57%

13%

90%

7%

92%

49%

[VOL] Neither

6%

5%

10%

4%

4%

7%

5%

5%

7%

5%

9%

10%

3%

6%

7%

7%

5%

6%

7%

7%

5%

6%

3%

4%

2%

8%

[VOL] About the same/Both

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

<.5%

3%

2%

2%

3%

<.5%

5%

<.5%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

7%

7%

9%

6%

5%

5%

9%

6%

7%

7%

8%

9%

6%

7%

8%

6%

7%

8%

6%

8%

7%

7%

4%

5%

3%

10%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Who do you agree more with on gun policy:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

43%

40%

44%

41%

45%

37%

49%

55%

36%

36%

75%

49%

52%

27%

36%

60%

39%

41%

54%

46%

31%

80%

7%

87%

4%

39%

The Republican Party

47%

52%

46%

52%

44%

55%

41%

38%

53%

55%

17%

34%

41%

65%

52%

31%

54%

48%

40%

43%

59%

12%

87%

7%

90%

47%

[VOL] Neither

5%

3%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

5%

4%

4%

6%

4%

5%

7%

6%

3%

3%

3%

4%

6%

3%

4%

2%

3%

7%

[VOL] About the same/Both

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

-

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

4%

3%

2%

6%

2%

5%

1%

5%

3%

5%

9%

1%

4%

2%

2%

4%

7%

2%

5%

4%

4%

2%

3%

3%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

As I read each of the following, please tell me whether you think it describes the Democratic Party more or the Republican Party more.

Do you think “extreme” describes:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party more

37%

19%

36%

43%

43%

38%

37%

32%

40%

43%

18%

28%

37%

47%

40%

27%

42%

37%

32%

33%

46%

10%

76%

13%

77%

28%

The Republican Party more

43%

55%

41%

43%

41%

39%

48%

52%

39%

39%

67%

51%

48%

34%

35%

54%

42%

44%

50%

47%

36%

79%

7%

80%

8%

43%

[VOL] Both

11%

16%

15%

7%

7%

14%

6%

10%

11%

11%

5%

10%

9%

12%

16%

11%

8%

10%

10%

12%

10%

7%

9%

4%

9%

17%

[VOL] Neither

3%

3%

4%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

1%

2%

3%

1%

2%

4%

[VOL] DK/REF

6%

6%

3%

5%

7%

6%

6%

3%

7%

5%

7%

9%

2%

6%

8%

6%

5%

5%

6%

5%

7%

3%

5%

3%

4%

7%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you think “elitist” describes:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party more

35%

36%

31%

42%

35%

38%

33%

35%

36%

39%

21%

26%

38%

39%

39%

19%

39%

39%

29%

34%

40%

18%

58%

20%

57%

32%

The Republican Party more

36%

46%

35%

32%

36%

35%

37%

43%

31%

33%

53%

37%

40%

28%

33%

50%

29%

36%

43%

37%

29%

56%

14%

57%

14%

37%

[VOL] Both

9%

9%

16%

6%

3%

10%

7%

10%

8%

10%

4%

10%

9%

9%

9%

10%

9%

7%

10%

9%

7%

7%

8%

4%

7%

13%

[VOL] Neither

4%

1%

5%

4%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

5%

2%

4%

3%

3%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

5%

[VOL] DK/REF

17%

8%

14%

17%

22%

13%

21%

8%

22%

15%

18%

24%

8%

20%

15%

16%

20%

15%

15%

16%

20%

15%

17%

16%

20%

13%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you think “party of the working class” describes:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party more

42%

42%

39%

39%

48%

39%

46%

52%

37%

37%

60%

58%

50%

28%

36%

54%

39%

43%

54%

45%

31%

75%

10%

79%

8%

42%

The Republican Party more

43%

48%

41%

47%

40%

48%

39%

35%

48%

51%

14%

27%

38%

59%

48%

29%

48%

44%

34%

40%

54%

11%

80%

10%

84%

39%

[VOL] Both

4%

2%

8%

2%

<.5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

8%

4%

2%

3%

2%

6%

2%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

1%

3%

[VOL] Neither

6%

4%

9%

8%

3%

7%

4%

6%

6%

6%

13%

5%

6%

6%

8%

8%

5%

5%

5%

6%

7%

6%

5%

4%

3%

9%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

3%

3%

3%

8%

3%

6%

3%

6%

4%

5%

7%

3%

5%

6%

3%

5%

5%

4%

6%

5%

4%

1%

3%

3%

6%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you think “focused on the most important issues” describes:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party more

40%

43%

36%

37%

45%

34%

46%

49%

35%

35%

62%

50%

46%

28%

35%

53%

36%

39%

50%

43%

30%

76%

5%

83%

5%

35%

The Republican Party more

38%

27%

36%

45%

40%

43%

34%

29%

44%

44%

15%

30%

32%

53%

43%

23%

45%

37%

29%

35%

48%

10%

75%

8%

83%

32%

[VOL] Both

4%

9%

8%

2%

2%

4%

5%

4%

5%

5%

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

5%

3%

8%

5%

4%

5%

4%

4%

2%

2%

7%

[VOL] Neither

12%

14%

15%

11%

7%

13%

9%

13%

11%

12%

12%

8%

13%

11%

16%

15%

9%

9%

11%

13%

11%

7%

14%

4%

7%

18%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

7%

4%

5%

6%

5%

6%

5%

6%

4%

7%

10%

4%

4%

3%

5%

6%

7%

6%

5%

6%

4%

3%

3%

3%

7%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you think “committed to American democracy” describes:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party more

43%

49%

40%

40%

44%

39%

46%

52%

37%

38%

66%

50%

48%

31%

36%

59%

38%

41%

57%

44%

32%

80%

6%

85%

6%

40%

The Republican Party more

42%

32%

42%

49%

45%

45%

41%

35%

47%

49%

14%

31%

38%

57%

48%

24%

49%

42%

29%

40%

54%

9%

83%

7%

87%

37%

[VOL] Both

4%

9%

5%

2%

2%

5%

3%

5%

3%

5%

2%

4%

6%

4%

7%

4%

3%

3%

4%

5%

2%

4%

4%

2%

4%

7%

[VOL] Neither

6%

5%

9%

5%

4%

7%

5%

5%

7%

6%

7%

6%

6%

6%

6%

10%

4%

7%

7%

6%

7%

3%

6%

1%

1%

11%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

6%

3%

4%

4%

4%

5%

3%

5%

2%

11%

9%

2%

2%

3%

3%

6%

6%

3%

5%

5%

4%

2%

6%

1%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Which of the following comes closest to your views about the Democratic party?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Democrats have gone too far in pushing a “woke” ideology on issues related to race and gender

49%

49%

44%

54%

51%

56%

44%

44%

53%

56%

19%

40%

48%

61%

53%

38%

56%

46%

42%

46%

58%

20%

84%

18%

83%

53%

Democrats have not gone far enough in opposing racism and sexism

34%

46%

40%

31%

26%

29%

38%

41%

30%

29%

59%

37%

36%

25%

34%

36%

30%

37%

42%

35%

26%

59%

10%

61%

8%

30%

[VOL] Democrats have been about right in addressing racism and sexism

3%

1%

2%

4%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

6%

5%

4%

2%

3%

5%

3%

4%

3%

4%

2%

6%

<.5%

5%

<.5%

5%

[VOL] DK/REF

14%

5%

14%

10%

18%

12%

14%

11%

14%

12%

17%

19%

12%

12%

10%

22%

11%

14%

13%

14%

14%

15%

6%

16%

8%

12%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(Split A) What comes closest to your view about Donald Trump's actions after the 2020 election?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

He was just exercising his right to contest the election

38%

34%

36%

48%

36%

42%

34%

32%

42%

43%

23%

27%

35%

48%

43%

29%

39%

40%

30%

38%

43%

8%

77%

10%

69%

39%

He went so far that he threatened American democracy

54%

57%

56%

48%

57%

49%

59%

64%

48%

50%

69%

64%

62%

42%

52%

64%

53%

50%

62%

55%

49%

89%

15%

88%

21%

53%

[VOL] DK/REF

8%

9%

9%

4%

7%

9%

6%

4%

10%

7%

9%

10%

3%

10%

5%

7%

9%

10%

9%

7%

8%

3%

8%

3%

10%

9%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

(Split B) Thinking about the investigations into Donald Trump, do you think that Donald Trump has or has not committed any serious federal crimes?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Trump has committed serious federal crimes

51%

70%

51%

48%

46%

48%

54%

64%

44%

46%

80%

63%

59%

38%

49%

55%

52%

46%

65%

47%

48%

89%

9%

86%

6%

62%

Trump has not committed serious federal crimes

38%

22%

38%

44%

41%

40%

37%

27%

45%

44%

11%

21%

30%

53%

35%

28%

41%

45%

28%

39%

43%

4%

83%

7%

85%

24%

[VOL] DK/REF

11%

8%

11%

8%

13%

12%

9%

9%

11%

11%

9%

16%

11%

9%

16%

16%

7%

9%

7%

15%

9%

6%

8%

7%

10%

13%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

What comes closest to your view:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

America is the greatest country in the world

49%

30%

31%

60%

65%

55%

44%

42%

54%

54%

33%

40%

44%

60%

56%

38%

53%

47%

36%

49%

58%

35%

71%

37%

69%

48%

America is a great country but not the greatest

42%

59%

58%

34%

30%

38%

46%

51%

37%

38%

58%

48%

49%

31%

36%

46%

41%

45%

52%

42%

36%

57%

25%

55%

24%

44%

America is not a great country

6%

11%

10%

3%

4%

4%

7%

5%

7%

5%

8%

10%

4%

6%

5%

9%

5%

7%

8%

6%

5%

6%

4%

7%

5%

6%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

-

2%

3%

1%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

7%

1%

<.5%

4%

3%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

2%

2%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

What comes closer to your views, even if neither is exactly right:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Most people can get ahead if they’re willing to work hard

65%

52%

57%

72%

73%

67%

64%

62%

67%

67%

54%

69%

64%

70%

65%

60%

70%

62%

63%

63%

69%

54%

83%

53%

85%

62%

Hard work and determination are no guarantee of success for most people

31%

46%

36%

28%

22%

28%

34%

35%

29%

30%

40%

27%

33%

28%

31%

37%

26%

34%

33%

32%

28%

42%

16%

45%

15%

33%

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

2%

6%

1%

5%

4%

2%

3%

3%

3%

7%

4%

3%

2%

4%

3%

4%

3%

4%

4%

2%

3%

1%

2%

1%

5%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(Split B) Which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Gender is an identity that is distinct from a person’s biological sex

30%

61%

35%

27%

18%

25%

35%

41%

24%

27%

28%

38%

40%

19%

29%

35%

21%

43%

44%

33%

19%

48%

7%

44%

7%

38%

Gender is determined by a person’s biological sex at birth

61%

37%

61%

66%

67%

64%

58%

52%

67%

65%

63%

47%

53%

73%

67%

53%

68%

50%

48%

60%

70%

41%

90%

46%

89%

51%

[VOL] DK/REF

9%

2%

3%

7%

15%

11%

7%

7%

9%

9%

9%

15%

8%

8%

4%

12%

11%

7%

8%

8%

11%

12%

4%

10%

4%

11%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

(Split B) Do you support or oppose allowing public school teachers to provide classroom instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity to children in elementary school (grades 1 to 5)? [FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

13%

24%

12%

13%

8%

10%

16%

19%

10%

11%

18%

17%

19%

6%

8%

17%

11%

17%

24%

13%

7%

24%

1%

26%

1%

11%

Somewhat support

14%

25%

18%

13%

8%

13%

16%

22%

10%

13%

22%

15%

22%

7%

8%

17%

14%

18%

14%

18%

10%

27%

2%

27%

2%

15%

Somewhat oppose

12%

8%

15%

7%

16%

10%

14%

10%

13%

9%

31%

19%

8%

10%

12%

13%

13%

10%

17%

10%

11%

20%

3%

22%

1%

14%

Strongly oppose

58%

43%

54%

63%

62%

64%

52%

45%

65%

64%

26%

46%

47%

74%

68%

48%

60%

53%

44%

55%

69%

25%

94%

20%

95%

57%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

<.5%

<.5%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

3%

4%

3%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

4%

3%

5%

1%

4%

1%

3%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

(Split B) Do you support or oppose allowing public school teachers to provide classroom instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity to children in middle school or junior high school (grades 6 to 8)? [FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

24%

49%

23%

24%

14%

20%

29%

36%

18%

21%

35%

26%

39%

11%

20%

27%

23%

28%

39%

27%

12%

44%

4%

46%

4%

24%

Somewhat support

20%

20%

28%

15%

20%

20%

20%

22%

19%

18%

27%

27%

19%

18%

14%

25%

20%

20%

17%

20%

21%

31%

9%

30%

9%

22%

Somewhat oppose

13%

12%

12%

13%

16%

13%

12%

8%

15%

13%

13%

16%

7%

16%

14%

16%

11%

11%

8%

11%

17%

9%

12%

7%

12%

18%

Strongly oppose

41%

19%

37%

46%

47%

45%

36%

31%

46%

45%

23%

28%

33%

53%

49%

30%

43%

39%

37%

39%

46%

12%

74%

13%

74%

34%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

-

<.5%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

4%

3%

3%

1%

<.5%

4%

3%

4%

1%

4%

1%

2%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

(Split B) Do you support or oppose allowing public school teachers to provide classroom instruction on sexual orientation and gender identity to children in high school (grades 9 to 12)? [FOLLOW UP: Is that strongly or somewhat?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Strongly support

33%

56%

38%

32%

21%

30%

36%

48%

26%

30%

43%

39%

49%

19%

28%

42%

31%

34%

48%

35%

21%

56%

8%

56%

7%

36%

Somewhat support

23%

24%

25%

19%

27%

20%

26%

20%

25%

21%

31%

32%

17%

24%

22%

25%

21%

24%

13%

24%

27%

27%

17%

26%

19%

28%

Somewhat oppose

10%

6%

3%

12%

13%

11%

8%

9%

10%

10%

7%

10%

9%

10%

13%

5%

11%

8%

9%

7%

13%

4%

15%

3%

15%

8%

Strongly oppose

32%

14%

33%

35%

35%

36%

28%

21%

38%

37%

13%

17%

24%

45%

34%

26%

35%

31%

30%

30%

36%

10%

59%

12%

58%

24%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

<.5%

-

2%

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

6%

2%

1%

2%

3%

3%

2%

2%

<.5%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

1%

4%

n

698

93

149

225

185

344

346

310

380

340

46

265

171

166

123

133

246

196

176

320

202

340

232

244

182

223

Percent of total electorate

100%

14%

21%

30%

28%

47%

51%

34%

64%

67%

10%

12%

25%

42%

22%

19%

36%

23%

21%

43%

36%

42%

36%

31%

30%

30%

 

(Split A) Which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

America is a racist country

49%

58%

56%

44%

45%

43%

54%

53%

47%

45%

77%

55%

48%

43%

47%

55%

44%

55%

64%

49%

38%

70%

26%

67%

29%

48%

America is not a racist country

44%

36%

38%

51%

47%

52%

36%

40%

46%

47%

20%

38%

46%

48%

44%

36%

50%

40%

30%

44%

54%

23%

69%

28%

63%

45%

[VOL] DK/REF

7%

5%

6%

6%

9%

5%

9%

7%

7%

7%

3%

8%

7%

8%

10%

9%

6%

5%

6%

7%

8%

7%

5%

5%

8%

6%

n

701

101

170

236

156

358

336

310

385

343

47

257

179

163

116

143

255

187

191

302

208

326

241

222

183

245

Percent of total electorate

100%

16%

24%

33%

23%

49%

50%

38%

62%

64%

13%

12%

27%

37%

21%

22%

35%

22%

24%

43%

33%

42%

35%

30%

27%

36%

 

Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes? [IF NEEDED: “I just want to remind you that you are completely anonymous. We only use this information in aggregate form to ensure we have a representative group of people."]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Under $25,000

12%

14%

6%

11%

20%

10%

14%

5%

17%

11%

16%

17%

4%

16%

11%

12%

13%

12%

12%

14%

11%

11%

8%

16%

10%

12%

At least $25,000 but under $50,000

17%

21%

14%

14%

20%

15%

19%

9%

21%

16%

17%

21%

9%

21%

20%

11%

20%

15%

16%

14%

21%

18%

15%

19%

17%

15%

At least $50,000 but under $100,000

28%

30%

32%

25%

30%

29%

27%

30%

28%

30%

33%

28%

30%

30%

31%

32%

25%

26%

30%

25%

31%

31%

29%

31%

31%

26%

At least $100,000 but under $200,000

23%

23%

31%

29%

11%

24%

23%

34%

18%

25%

19%

18%

34%

19%

23%

21%

23%

26%

23%

25%

21%

23%

28%

18%

24%

26%

$200,000 or more

10%

4%

11%

15%

7%

13%

8%

18%

6%

11%

4%

6%

19%

6%

7%

15%

8%

12%

10%

13%

6%

11%

11%

11%

9%

11%

[VOL] Refused

9%

8%

7%

6%

11%

9%

9%

5%

11%

7%

11%

10%

4%

9%

7%

9%

11%

9%

8%

9%

11%

5%

8%

5%

9%

10%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you consider yourself Catholic, Protestant, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or do you have no religious affiliation?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Catholic

20%

12%

20%

21%

24%

18%

22%

22%

19%

20%

8%

40%

24%

17%

19%

27%

17%

20%

18%

26%

14%

21%

22%

23%

18%

19%

Protestant (Christian)

31%

17%

25%

34%

40%

29%

32%

31%

31%

33%

37%

14%

31%

33%

30%

24%

41%

21%

25%

27%

38%

25%

42%

28%

43%

25%

Mormon (LDS)

1%

-

2%

2%

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

-

<.5%

1%

1%

1%

-

<.5%

3%

-

1%

1%

1%

2%

<.5%

2%

<.5%

Jewish

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

4%

<.5%

2%

-

<.5%

5%

-

<.5%

4%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1%

1%

Muslim

<.5%

1%

-

1%

-

<.5%

<.5%

1%

-

-

2%

1%

-

-

-

1%

<.5%

-

-

1%

-

<.5%

<.5%

-

<.5%

<.5%

[VOL] CHRISTIAN (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, Adventist, Presbyterian)

5%

3%

4%

5%

7%

5%

5%

3%

6%

4%

13%

4%

1%

6%

8%

4%

6%

2%

3%

4%

8%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

[VOL] Greek/Russian Orthodox

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

1%

<.5%

-

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

-

-

1%

<.5%

-

<.5%

-

1%

-

1%

-

-

<.5%

-

1%

<.5%

Some other religion (specify)

11%

20%

11%

11%

7%

11%

11%

10%

12%

10%

15%

8%

8%

11%

11%

4%

14%

14%

14%

10%

12%

10%

9%

10%

10%

14%

No religious affiliation

28%

45%

34%

22%

18%

31%

24%

27%

28%

28%

22%

32%

29%

27%

29%

34%

18%

36%

35%

27%

24%

33%

15%

30%

15%

34%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

2%

4%

2%

1%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

3%

1%

<.5%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

4%

1%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(If Protestant, Christian, Mormon, Greek/Russian Orthodox or some other religion) Do you consider yourself an evangelical or born-again Christian?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Yes

56%

38%

53%

60%

60%

56%

56%

41%

63%

53%

73%

57%

39%

61%

44%

44%

68%

49%

50%

56%

58%

45%

65%

53%

67%

45%

No

40%

58%

42%

38%

36%

40%

40%

56%

32%

43%

25%

36%

59%

34%

50%

54%

28%

47%

46%

40%

37%

52%

31%

43%

29%

51%

[VOL] Refused

4%

4%

5%

2%

4%

4%

4%

2%

5%

4%

2%

7%

2%

5%

5%

2%

4%

5%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

n

568

64

116

200

154

272

290

242

320

316

62

137

144

170

108

83

252

125

131

219

218

217

253

146

201

183

Percent of total electorate

100%

13%

19%

34%

28%

46%

52%

33%

66%

65%

15%

7%

22%

43%

22%

13%

45%

19%

20%

38%

43%

36%

43%

27%

36%

31%

 

Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Yes

12%

18%

14%

10%

7%

12%

12%

9%

14%

-

-

100%

-

-

5%

10%

12%

21%

18%

14%

6%

14%

8%

14%

7%

14%

No

87%

80%

85%

89%

92%

87%

87%

90%

85%

99%

100%

-

100%

99%

95%

87%

87%

78%

81%

85%

93%

85%

92%

85%

92%

85%

[VOL] Refused

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

-

-

<.5%

1%

<.5%

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Would you consider yourself: [IF “Biracial” or “Multi-racial” ask: “What races would that be?"]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

White

70%

61%

70%

73%

76%

70%

71%

76%

67%

99%

-

41%

99%

99%

78%

75%

68%

62%

63%

67%

79%

62%

83%

57%

87%

70%

Black or African American

11%

8%

13%

12%

10%

11%

12%

10%

12%

-

99%

2%

-

-

9%

13%

14%

9%

18%

11%

8%

21%

2%

25%

<.5%

9%

Asian or Asian American

2%

9%

2%

1%

<.5%

3%

1%

3%

2%

-

-

-

-

-

5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

4%

<.5%

3%

1%

2%

1%

4%

Native American

2%

5%

3%

1%

3%

3%

1%

1%

3%

-

-

7%

-

-

1%

1%

2%

4%

3%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

2%

Some other race (specify)

5%

7%

5%

5%

4%

4%

6%

2%

6%

1%

1%

29%

1%

1%

2%

5%

5%

8%

6%

6%

4%

5%

4%

6%

4%

5%

More than one race

6%

11%

5%

6%

5%

6%

7%

7%

6%

-

-

18%

-

-

3%

4%

6%

12%

8%

8%

4%

6%

5%

5%

4%

8%

[VOL] Refused

2%

<.5%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

3%

-

-

4%

-

-

1%

1%

4%

4%

1%

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(If Hispanic) What is your family’s national origin: [IF MORE THAN ONE: Which one do you identify with most?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Mexican

46%

53%

50%

38%

34%

48%

44%

33%

51%

-

-

46%

-

-

45%

9%

43%

65%

49%

44%

46%

52%

34%

57%

34%

38%

Cuban

6%

1%

5%

12%

8%

7%

5%

5%

6%

-

-

6%

-

-

<.5%

7%

12%

1%

<.5%

11%

1%

3%

12%

4%

10%

6%

Puerto Rican

11%

3%

13%

11%

17%

7%

15%

15%

10%

-

-

11%

-

-

13%

39%

7%

3%

13%

10%

11%

13%

7%

11%

12%

13%

Dominican

3%

1%

4%

5%

1%

3%

2%

2%

3%

-

-

3%

-

-

-

9%

3%

<.5%

4%

3%

<.5%

3%

6%

3%

4%

3%

Central American

8%

15%

5%

5%

6%

10%

5%

3%

9%

-

-

8%

-

-

7%

6%

8%

8%

8%

8%

5%

7%

7%

7%

5%

8%

Or is your heritage from another country (specify)

23%

25%

22%

25%

26%

23%

24%

38%

19%

-

-

23%

-

-

24%

26%

25%

21%

20%

22%

33%

19%

31%

17%

33%

27%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

2%

1%

4%

8%

2%

4%

3%

3%

-

-

3%

-

-

11%

5%

2%

1%

5%

2%

4%

4%

3%

2%

2%

5%

n

522

101

132

170

79

250

267

184

335

522

50

77

198

197

173

262

87

273

133

204

103

174

Percent of total electorate

100%

23%

26%

27%

15%

47%

52%

25%

74%

100%

9%

17%

36%

39%

33%

49%

18%

48%

22%

36%

17%

37%

 

(If Hispanic) Were you born in the United States, on the island of Puerto Rico, or in another country?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

United States

66%

82%

76%

54%

43%

66%

66%

77%

63%

-

-

66%

-

-

83%

57%

59%

72%

70%

62%

69%

64%

69%

59%

71%

71%

Puerto Rico

7%

1%

4%

10%

15%

7%

6%

6%

7%

-

-

7%

-

-

4%

21%

6%

2%

7%

8%

2%

7%

4%

8%

8%

5%

Another country

27%

15%

20%

36%

42%

26%

27%

17%

29%

-

-

27%

-

-

13%

22%

34%

25%

22%

29%

28%

28%

27%

33%

21%

23%

[VOL] DK/REF

<.5%

2%

<.5%

-

-

1%

-

<.5%

1%

-

-

<.5%

-

-

-

-

1%

-

1%

-

<.5%

1%

-

<.5%

-

1%

n

522

101

132

170

79

250

267

184

335

522

50

77

198

197

173

262

87

273

133

204

103

174

Percent of total electorate

100%

23%

26%

27%

15%

47%

52%

25%

74%

100%

9%

17%

36%

39%

33%

49%

18%

48%

22%

36%

17%

37%

 

(If Hispanic and born in the U.S.) How many of your parents were born in the United States?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Zero

35%

47%

36%

21%

10%

35%

33%

27%

38%

-

-

35%

-

-

24%

27%

36%

39%

39%

42%

11%

35%

24%

36%

35%

27%

One

15%

13%

18%

18%

7%

12%

18%

22%

12%

-

-

15%

-

-

8%

19%

20%

12%

10%

19%

16%

13%

22%

16%

22%

11%

Two

49%

40%

45%

55%

83%

52%

46%

46%

50%

-

-

49%

-

-

68%

54%

40%

49%

51%

37%

73%

52%

49%

47%

37%

63%

[VOL] Refused

1%

-

-

6%

-

-

3%

4%

-

-

-

1%

-

-

-

-

4%

<.5%

-

3%

-

-

5%

<.5%

7%

-

n

336

82

98

93

38

162

171

128

208

336

35

42

118

141

112

162

62

176

85

123

66

121

Percent of total electorate

100%

28%

30%

22%

10%

46%

52%

30%

70%

100%

11%

14%

32%

43%

35%

46%

19%

47%

23%

32%

18%

39%

 

(If Hispanic) Do you speak a language other than English at home? [FOLLOW UP: Is that Spanish or another language?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Yes, Spanish

63%

64%

70%

62%

55%

62%

64%

58%

65%

-

-

63%

-

-

42%

63%

66%

66%

66%

64%

57%

67%

57%

74%

61%

53%

Yes, Another language

6%

8%

2%

9%

5%

7%

5%

2%

8%

-

-

6%

-

-

2%

6%

12%

1%

3%

9%

5%

5%

5%

6%

3%

7%

No

30%

28%

28%

29%

41%

30%

31%

39%

28%

-

-

30%

-

-

55%

30%

22%

32%

32%

27%

38%

27%

38%

20%

35%

40%

[VOL] Refused

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

-

<.5%

-

<.5%

-

-

-

<.5%

-

-

-

-

-

<.5%

-

<.5%

-

-

-

-

-

<.5%

n

522

101

132

170

79

250

267

184

335

522

50

77

198

197

173

262

87

273

133

204

103

174

Percent of total electorate

100%

23%

26%

27%

15%

47%

52%

25%

74%

100%

9%

17%

36%

39%

33%

49%

18%

48%

22%

36%

17%

37%

 

(If Hispanic) Does the use of the term Latinx [la-TEE-neks] to describe Hispanic and Latino people offend you? Yes or No? [FOLLOW UP IF YES: Do you find it a little offensive or a lot offensive?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Yes, a lot

12%

10%

18%

6%

8%

14%

9%

9%

13%

-

-

12%

-

-

5%

13%

11%

14%

16%

9%

11%

10%

19%

7%

18%

14%

Yes, a little

6%

6%

8%

4%

6%

7%

5%

8%

5%

-

-

6%

-

-

4%

11%

4%

6%

8%

5%

5%

5%

8%

6%

5%

7%

No

72%

79%

68%

74%

66%

66%

78%

73%

72%

-

-

72%

-

-

78%

60%

73%

74%

70%

74%

69%

78%

64%

81%

68%

66%

[VOL] Haven't heard of it

9%

5%

6%

14%

13%

11%

7%

7%

9%

-

-

9%

-

-

13%

14%

8%

6%

5%

9%

14%

6%

6%

6%

5%

11%

[VOL] DK/REF

2%

1%

-

1%

8%

3%

1%

3%

1%

-

-

2%

-

-

1%

<.5%

4%

1%

<.5%

3%

1%

1%

4%

1%

3%

2%

n

522

101

132

170

79

250

267

184

335

522

50

77

198

197

173

262

87

273

133

204

103

174

Percent of total electorate

100%

23%

26%

27%

15%

47%

52%

25%

74%

100%

9%

17%

36%

39%

33%

49%

18%

48%

22%

36%

17%

37%

 

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent, or a member of another party?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Democrat

30%

24%

30%

30%

35%

21%

40%

38%

26%

24%

66%

36%

35%

17%

25%

40%

26%

34%

39%

33%

21%

62%

3%

100%

-

-

Republican

29%

13%

25%

35%

36%

27%

31%

25%

31%

37%

1%

17%

29%

42%

37%

20%

34%

21%

18%

27%

38%

3%

66%

-

100%

-

Independent

33%

49%

35%

30%

26%

43%

23%

34%

33%

33%

25%

37%

34%

32%

31%

35%

32%

34%

35%

33%

31%

32%

26%

-

-

100%

Another party

4%

10%

6%

3%

1%

6%

2%

2%

5%

4%

2%

3%

1%

6%

3%

1%

4%

7%

4%

3%

5%

1%

4%

-

-

-

[VOL] DK/REF

4%

4%

4%

2%

3%

4%

4%

1%

5%

2%

6%

7%

1%

3%

5%

5%

4%

3%

4%

4%

4%

2%

1%

-

-

-

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(If not a Democrat or a Republican) And as of today, do you lean more to:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

The Democratic Party

39%

40%

37%

38%

45%

37%

43%

52%

34%

37%

46%

45%

54%

28%

40%

41%

38%

36%

43%

43%

31%

81%

2%

-

-

43%

The Republican Party

41%

42%

44%

50%

30%

47%

31%

34%

46%

47%

15%

32%

35%

55%

35%

28%

46%

48%

35%

36%

51%

8%

84%

-

-

41%

[VOL] DK/REF

21%

18%

19%

12%

25%

16%

26%

15%

21%

16%

40%

23%

11%

18%

24%

30%

16%

16%

22%

21%

19%

11%

14%

-

-

16%

n

568

106

145

167

108

338

218

250

309

267

31

215

132

133

100

112

208

148

139

255

174

231

158

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

23%

25%

27%

18%

62%

36%

32%

65%

63%

9%

14%

23%

40%

20%

20%

36%

24%

24%

42%

35%

36%

27%

80%

 

Regardless of how you vote today, thinking back to the times you have voted over the last decade or so, as far back as 2012, have you generally voted more for Democrats, voted more for Republicans, or has it been more of a mix?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Voted more for Democrats

35%

36%

39%

34%

32%

31%

39%

47%

29%

28%

69%

45%

41%

19%

30%

45%

30%

39%

50%

35%

27%

69%

5%

78%

3%

27%

Voted more for Republicans

30%

18%

23%

38%

34%

32%

29%

26%

33%

38%

<.5%

18%

31%

43%

35%

21%

37%

23%

22%

27%

39%

4%

68%

2%

74%

22%

More of a mix

30%

31%

35%

27%

32%

32%

28%

26%

33%

32%

25%

29%

27%

34%

30%

29%

29%

33%

24%

32%

31%

26%

27%

19%

21%

46%

[VOL] Haven't voted/Neither

2%

9%

2%

<.5%

1%

3%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

5%

<.5%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

-

1%

2%

2%

[VOL] DK/REF

3%

6%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

3%

<.5%

3%

2%

5%

2%

<.5%

2%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

2%

3%

1%

<.5%

<.5%

-

3%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Do you consider yourself politically liberal, moderate, or conservative? [FOLLOW UP: (If liberal or conservative) Is that very or somewhat?]

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Very liberal

9%

13%

11%

8%

7%

6%

12%

17%

5%

10%

9%

10%

18%

4%

8%

15%

7%

9%

14%

10%

5%

18%

1%

21%

1%

6%

Somewhat liberal

13%

18%

15%

11%

12%

14%

12%

15%

12%

13%

15%

15%

14%

13%

13%

15%

13%

11%

13%

13%

13%

20%

4%

21%

3%

14%

Mod.

36%

44%

40%

31%

35%

34%

38%

37%

36%

33%

50%

38%

34%

33%

29%

39%

34%

43%

42%

39%

29%

48%

22%

42%

18%

48%

Somewhat conservative

20%

18%

17%

26%

20%

24%

17%

17%

22%

22%

7%

16%

18%

25%

29%

11%

23%

17%

17%

18%

25%

7%

35%

8%

37%

18%

Very conservative

16%

5%

11%

19%

23%

17%

16%

12%

19%

18%

13%

13%

14%

20%

15%

14%

18%

17%

13%

15%

20%

4%

35%

5%

36%

10%

[VOL] DK/REF

5%

2%

7%

4%

3%

4%

6%

2%

6%

4%

5%

7%

2%

5%

7%

6%

6%

3%

1%

6%

8%

3%

3%

3%

5%

3%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

Did you vote in the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden?

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Yes

86%

69%

84%

92%

92%

83%

89%

96%

80%

86%

95%

79%

98%

79%

86%

87%

85%

84%

86%

86%

85%

100%

100%

94%

90%

80%

No

13%

31%

15%

8%

7%

16%

11%

4%

19%

13%

3%

20%

2%

20%

12%

9%

14%

16%

14%

12%

13%

-

-

6%

10%

19%

[VOL] Refused

1%

-

1%

-

<.5%

1%

1%

<.5%

1%

1%

2%

1%

-

1%

2%

3%

<.5%

<.5%

<.5%

2%

1%

-

-

-

-

1%

n

1399

194

319

461

341

702

682

620

765

683

93

522

350

329

239

276

501

383

367

622

410

666

473

466

365

468

Percent of total electorate

100%

15%

22%

31%

25%

48%

51%

36%

63%

66%

11%

12%

26%

40%

22%

20%

36%

22%

22%

43%

35%

42%

36%

30%

29%

33%

 

(If voted in 2020) Did you vote for:

Registered Voters

Age

Gender

Education

Race

Race + Education

Region

City Type

Vote 2020

Party I.D.

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Male

Female

B.A.+

No B.A.

White

Black

Hispanic

White, college

White, no college

MW

NE

S

W

City

Suburb

Rural

Biden

Trump

D

R

I

Donald Trump

42%

29%

35%

51%

43%

47%

37%

35%

46%

51%

6%

29%

40%

59%

49%

33%

47%

34%

26%

39%

56%

-

100%

4%

91%

36%

Joe Biden

49%

59%

57%

39%

49%

43%

55%

59%

43%

42%

81%

61%

54%

33%

43%

59%

46%

51%

64%

52%

35%

100%

-

92%

5%

51%

[VOL] Howie Hawkins

<.5%

-

-

-

<.5%

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

-

-

<.5%

-

-

-

-

-

<.5%

-

-

-

-

<.5%

[VOL] Jo Jorgensen

1%

4%

3%

1%

-

2%

<.5%

1%

2%

1%

3%

1%

1%

2%

3%

-

<.5%

3%

3%

1%

1%

-

-

-

1%

1%

[VOL] DK/REF

8%

7%

4%

9%

8%

7%

8%

5%

9%

6%

10%

9%

5%

7%

5%

8%

7%

12%

8%

8%

8%

-

-

4%

3%

13%

n

1248

152

281

432

318

620

618

590

649

634

87

442

343

289

214

249

437

348

324

550

374

666

473

443

341

401

Percent of total electorate

100%

12%

22%

34%

27%

47%

52%

40%

59%

66%

13%

11%

30%

37%

22%

21%

36%

22%

23%

43%

35%

49%

42%

33%

30%

31%

 
Party I.D. is self-identified party, without leaners; independents only include self-identified independents.

Methodology

The New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,399 registered voters nationwide, including an oversample of 522 Hispanic voters, was conducted in English and Spanish on cellular and landline telephones from Sept. 6 to 14, 2022. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.6 percentage points for the full sample and +/- 5.9 percentage points for self-reported Hispanic voters.

Sample

The survey is a response-rate-adjusted stratified sample of registered voters on the L2 voter file. The sample was selected by The New York Times in multiple steps to account for the oversample of modeled Hispanic voters, differential telephone coverage, nonresponse and significant variation in the productivity of telephone numbers by state.

First, the voter file was split by L2’s Hispanic ethnicity classification; sample selection for the Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples was performed separately.

Second, records were selected by state. To adjust for noncoverage bias, the L2 voter file was stratified by statehouse district, party, race, gender, marital status, household size, turnout history, age and home ownership. The proportion of registrants with a telephone number and the mean expected response rate were calculated for each strata. The mean expected response rate was based on a model of unit nonresponse in prior Times/Siena surveys. The initial selection weight was equal to the reciprocal of a strata’s mean telephone coverage and modeled response rate. For respondents with multiple telephone numbers on the L2 file, the number with the highest modeled response rate was selected.

Third, state records were selected for the national sample. The number of records selected by state was based on a model of unit nonresponse in prior Times/Siena national surveys as a function of state (as a random effect), telephone number quality, age, race, turnout and metropolitan status. The state’s share of records was equal to the reciprocal of the mean response rate of the state’s records, multiplied by the state’s share of registered Hispanic or non-Hispanic voters nationwide, divided by the national sum of the weights.

Fielding

The Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples were stratified by party and region and fielded by the Siena College Research Institute, with additional field work by ReconMR, the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida and the Institute of Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College. Interviewers asked for the person named on the voter file and ended the interview if the intended respondent was not available. Overall, 76 percent of respondents were reached on a cellular telephone, including 87 percent of self-reported Hispanics.

The instrument was translated into Spanish by ReconMR, and Spanish-speaking interviewers were assigned to the modeled Hispanic sample. Bilingual interviewers began the interview in English and were instructed to follow the lead of the respondent in determining whether to conduct the survey in English or Spanish. Monolingual Spanish-speaking respondents initially contacted by English-speakers, in either the Hispanic or non-Hispanic samples, were recontacted by Spanish-speaking interviewers. Overall, 14 percent of interviews among self-reported Hispanics were conducted in Spanish.

Weighting

The survey was weighted by The Times using the R survey package in multiple steps to account for the oversample of modeled Hispanic voters and to incorporate weights based on both modeled and self-reported Hispanic ethnicity.

First, the Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples were adjusted for unequal probability of selection by strata.

Second, the modeled Hispanic and modeled non-Hispanic samples were weighted separately to match voter file-based parameters for the characteristics of modeled Hispanics and non-Hispanics. The modeled Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples were also weighted to match targets for the self-reported Hispanic share of modeled Hispanic and non-Hispanic voters, based on Times/Siena polls.

Third, the two samples were combined and adjusted to account for the oversample of modeled Hispanics.

Fourth, the combined sample was split by self-reported Hispanic origin. The weights for self-reported Hispanics and non-Hispanics were recalibrated to match census-based estimates for the educational attainment of Hispanics and non-Hispanics, while preserving previous voter file-based targets. The Hispanic sample was also weighted by nation of birth and Spanish-language use at home. Survey weights were trimmed at the 99th percentile.

Fifth, the self-reported Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples were recombined. No subsequent rebalancing was necessary, with the self-reported Hispanic and non-Hispanic shares of the sample remaining within 0.1 of a percentage point of target parameters.

Parameters

The following voter file-based targets were used to weight the modeled Hispanic and non-Hispanic samples:

• Party (NYT classifications based on L2 data and, in states without party registration or primary vote history, a model of partisanship based on previous Times/Siena polls)

• Age (Self-reported age or voter file age if the respondent refuses)

• Gender (Self-reported gender or voter file gender if the respondent refuses)

• Marital status (L2 model)

• Home ownership (L2 model)

• Metropolitan area (2013 National Center for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties)

• Region (Census Bureau definition, except Maryland, Delaware and Washington, D.C., reclassified as Northeast)

• Turnout history (NYT classifications based on L2 data)

• Vote method in the 2020 elections (NYT classifications based on L2 data)• Census block group density (A.C.S. 2020 5-Year Census Block Group data)

• Census block group Hispanic pct. (A.C.S. 2020 5-Year Census Block Group data)

• Modeled Hispanic national origin, among modeled Hispanics (L2 model)

The following census-based targets were used to recalibrate the weights for self-reported Hispanics and non-Hispanics:

• Educational attainment (NYT model based on A.C.S. and C.P.S. data)

• Nation of birth, among self-reported Hispanics (NYT model based on A.C.S. and C.P.S. data)

• Spanish-language use, among self-reported Hispanics (NYT model based on A.C.S. and C.P.S. data)

The margin of error due to sampling for the full sample is +/- 3.6 percentage points and +/- 5.9 percentage points for self-reported Hispanics. The margin of error accounts for the survey's design effect, a measure of the loss of statistical power due to survey design and weighting. The design effect for the full sample is 1.93 and 1.89 for self-reported Hispanics.