November Child Tax Credit payment kept 3.8 million children from poverty
The fifth monthly payment of the expanded Child Tax Credit kept 3.8 million children from poverty in November 2021. The Child Tax Credit reached 61.3 million children in November and, on its own, contributed to a 5.1 percentage point (29.4 percent) reduction in child poverty compared to what the monthly poverty rate in November would have been in its absence. Estimates are available by children’s race and ethnicity in the table below.
The overall monthly child poverty rate decreased between October and November, from 12.8 percent to 12.2 percent. Continuing forms of COVID-19 economic relief (including the Child Tax Credit available nationwide and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) emergency allotments still in place in many states) altogether kept 5.1 million children from poverty, resulting in a November monthly poverty rate for children that was 7 percentage points, or 36 percent, lower than it would have been without these policy items. As of October 1, 2021, recipients of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) also saw an increase in their SNAP benefits with the new adjustments to the Thrifty Food Plan; our analysis accounts for these new additional benefits as part of the permanent social safety net, rather than as part of temporary COVID-19-related relief.
In prior work, we found the first Child Tax Credit payment kept 3 million children from poverty in July 2021; the second payment kept 3.5 million children from poverty in August 2021; the third Child Tax Credit payment kept 3.4 million children from poverty in September 2021; and the fourth Child Tax Credit payment kept 3.6 million children from poverty in October 2021. Our research has also shown that the payments have reduced food insufficiency among low income families with children and that there is no evidence of negative employment effects. The US Department of Treasury reports that the first Child Tax Credit payment reached 59.3 million children in July, the second payment reached 60.9 million children in August, the third payment reached 60 million children in September, and the fourth payment reached 61.1 million children in October.
Measuring Monthly Poverty
In 2020, we established a novel method of forecasting poverty to provide monthly projections of poverty using the Supplemental Poverty Measure. Using a monthly framework, we are able to track poverty amidst changing economic circumstances as the COVID-19 pandemic and federal policy responses continue to unfold. Visit our data page to see monthly poverty trends for the US population as a whole, as well as by race/ethnicity and age groups.